Tuesday, November 23, 2010

Warren Buffet Quotes

 Accounting: 

“Accounting consequences do not influence our operating or capital-allocation decisions. When acquisition costs are similar, we much prefer to purchase $2 of earnings that is not reportable by us under standard accounting principles than to purchase $1 of earnings that is reportable.” 

“Managers thinking about accounting issues should never forget one of Abraham Lincoln’s favorite riddles: `How many legs does a dog have if you call his tail a leg?’ The answer: `Four, because calling a tail a leg does not make it a leg’.”

Arbitrage: 

“Berkshire’s arbitrage activities differ from those of many arbitrageurs. First, we participate in only a few, and usually very large, transactions each year. Most practitioners buy into a great many deals perhaps 50 or more per year. With that many irons in the fire, they must spend most of their time monitoring both the progress of deals and the market movements of the related stocks. This is not how Charlie nor I wish to spend our lives. (What’s the sense in getting rich just to stare at a ticker tape all day?)”

Billionaires:

“Of the billionaires I have known, money just brings out the basic traits in them. If they were jerks before they had money, they are simply jerks with a billion dollars.”

Brand:

“Your premium brand had better be delivering something special, or it’s not going to get the business.”

Bridge

“It’s got to be the best intellectual exercise out there. You’re seeing through new situations every ten minutes…In the stock market you don’t base your decisions on what the market is doing, but on what you think is rational….Bridge is about weighing gain/loss ratios. You’re doing calculations all the time.” Forbes. June 2, 1997. http://www.buffettcup.com/Default.aspx?tabid=69

“The approach and strategies are very similar in that you gather all the information you can and then keep adding to that base of information as things develop. You do whatever the probabilities indicated based on the knowledge that you have at that time, but you are always willing to modify your behaviour or your approach as you get new information. In bridge, you behave in a way that gets the best from your partner. And in business, you behave in the way that gets the best from your managers and your employees.” Buffett on Bridge
“I wouldn’t mind going to jail if I had three cellmates who played bridge” http://www.buffettcup.com/Default.aspx?tabid=69

“I spend twelve hours a week – a little over 10% of my waking hours – playing the game. Now I am trying to figure out how to get by on less sleep in order to fit in a few more hands.”
 http://www.buffettcup.com/Default.aspx?tabid=69

Investing is not as tough as being a top-notch bridge player. All it takes is the ability to see things as they really are.

Bubbles:

“Unfortunately, the hangover may prove to be proportional to the binge.”- March 2003

“Like most trends, at the beginning it’s driven by fundamentals, at some point speculation takes over. What the wise man does in the beginning, the fool does in the end.”  2006 Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting

“The world went mad. What we learn from history is that people don’t learn from history.”

Bull Markets

“In a bull market, one must avoid the error of the preening duck that quacks boastfully after a torrential rainstorm, thinking that its paddling skills have caused it to rise in the world. A right-thinking duck would instead compare its position after the downpour to that of the other ducks on the pond.” Letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders, 1997

Business:

“Should you find yourself in a chronically leaking boat, energy devoted to changing vessels is likely to be more productive than energy devoted to patching leaks.”

If a business does well, the stock eventually follows.”

Business School:

“The business schools reward difficult complex behavior more than simple behavior, but simple behavior is more effective.”

Circle of Competence

“There are all kinds of businesses that Charlie and I don’t understand, but that doesn’t cause us to stay up at night. It just means we go on to the next one, and that’s what the individual investor should do.” 

Compensation:

“The .350 hitter expects, and also deserves, a big payoff for his performance – even if he plays for a cellar-dwelling team. And a .150 hitter should get no reward – even if he plays for a pennant winner.”

“Too often, executive compensation in the U.S. is ridiculously out of line with performance. That won’t change, moreover, because the deck is stacked against investors when it comes to the CEO’s pay.”
- Warren Buffett; 2005 Letter to Shareholders

Complexity:

“There seems to be some perverse human characteristic that likes to make easy things difficult.”

Crowds:

“You can’t buy what is popular and do well.”

“Most people get interested in stocks when everyone else is. The time to get interested is when no one else is.”

“You’re neither right nor wrong because other people agree with you. You’re right because your facts are right and your reasoning is right—and that’s the only thing that makes you right. And if your facts and reasoning are right, you don’t have to worry about anybody else.”

“A public-opinion poll is no substitute for thought.”
“The most common cause of low prices is pessimism-some times pervasive, some times specific to a company or industry. We want to do business in such an environment, not because we like pessimism but because we like the prices it produces. It’s optimism that is the enemy of the rational buyer.” – 1990 Chairman’s Letter

“If you expect to be a net saver during the next 5 years, should you hope for a higher or lower stock market during that period?”Many investors get this one wrong. Even though they are going to be net buyers of stocks for many years to come, they are elated when stock prices rise and depressed when they fall.”This reaction makes no sense. Only those who will be sellers of equities in the near future should be happy at seeing stocks rise. Prospective purchasers should much prefer sinking prices.”- 1997 Chairman’s Letter to Shareholders


Debt:

“We will reject interesting opportunities rather than over-leverage our balance sheet.” Berkshire Hathaway Owners Manual

Deficit:


“I could end the deficit in 5 minutes. You just pass a  law that says that anytime there is a deficit of more than 3% of  GDP, all sitting members of Congress are ineligible for re-election.”


Decisions

“Charlie and I decided long ago that in an investment lifetime it’s too hard to make hundreds of smart decisions. That judgement became ever more compelling as Berkshire’s capital mushroomed and the universe of investments that could significantly affect our results shrank dramatically. Therefore, we adopted a strategy that required our being smart – and not too smart at that – only a very few times. Indeed, we’ll now settle for one good idea a year. (Charlie says it’s my turn.)”

"For investors as a whole, returns decrease as motion increases"

Diversification

“The strategy we’ve adopted precludes our following standard diversification dogma. Many pundits would therefore say the strategy must be riskier than that employed by more conventional investors. We disagree. We believe that a policy of portfolio concentration may well decrease risk if it raises, as it should, both the intensity with which an investor thinks about a business and the comfort-level he must feel with its economic characteristics before buying into it.”- 1993 Chairman’s Letter to Shareholders

“Diversification is a protection against ignorance. It makes very little sense for those who know what they’re doing.” 1993 Chairman’s Letter to Shareholders.

“Why not invest your assets in the companies you really like? As Mae West said,

“Too much of a good thing can be wonderful”. 

"Keynes essentially said don’t try and figure out what the market is doing. Figure out businesses you understand, and concentrate. Diversification is protection against ignorance, but if you don’t feel ignorant, the need for it goes down drastically"

Earnings:

"Never depend on single source of income. Make investment to create a second source"

Efficient Market Hypothesis

“I’d be a bum on the street with a tin cup if the markets were always efficient.” Fortune April 3, 1995

“Ben’s Mr. Market allegory may seem out-of-date in today’s investment world, in which most professionals and academicians talk of efficient markets, dynamic hedging and betas. Their interest in such matters is understandable, since techniques shrouded in mystery clearly have value to the purveyor of investment advice. After all, what witch doctor has ever achieved fame and fortune by simply advising ‘Take two aspirins’?”- 1987 Chairman’s Letter to Shareholders

Emotions

“The most important quality for an investor is temperament, not intellect… You need a temperament that neither derives great pleasure from being with the crowd or against the crowd.”

Ethics:

“I won’t close down a business of subnormal profitability merely to add a fraction of a point to our corporate returns. I also feel it inappropriate for even an exceptionally profitable company to fund an operation once it appears to have unending losses in prospect. Adam Smith would disagree with my first proposition and Karl Marx would disagree with my second; the middle ground is the only position that leaves me comfortable. “

Experience

“Can you really explain to a fish what it’s like to walk on land? One day on land is worth a thousand years of talking about it, and one day running a business has exactly the same kind of value.”  The Essential Buffett: Timeless Principles for the New Economy   Robert Hagstrom 2002

Fun: 

“We enjoy the process far more than the proceeds.”   

Habit:

“Chains of habit are too light to be felt until they are too heavy to be broken.”

Inactivity:

“You do things when the opportunities come along. I’ve had periods in my life when I’ve had a bundle of ideas come along, and I’ve had long dry spells. If I get an idea next week, I’ll do something. If not, I won’t do a damn thing.”

“We don’t get paid for activity, just for being right. As to how long we’ll wait, we’ll wait indefinitely.” – 1998 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting

“I call investing the greatest business in the world because you never have to swing. You stand at the plate, the pitcher throws you General Motors at 47! U.S. Steel at 39! and nobody calls a strike on you. There’s no penalty except opportunity lost. All day you wait for the pitch you like; then when the fielders are asleep, you step up and hit it.”

“The stock market is a no-called-strike game. You don’t have to swing at everything–you can wait for your pitch. The problem when you’re a money manager is that your fans keep yelling, ‘Swing, you bum!’” – 1999 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting

“Our favorite holding period is forever.” Letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders, 1988

“I am out of step with present conditions. When the game is no longer played your way, it is only human to say the new approach is all wrong, bound to lead to trouble, and so on. On one point, however, I am clear. I will not abandon a previous approach whose logic I understand ( although I find it difficult to apply ) even though it may mean foregoing large, and apparently easy, profits to embrace an approach which I don’t fully understand, have not practiced successfully, and which possibly could lead to substantial permanent loss of capital.”
1969.

“One of the ironies of the stock market is the emphasis on activity. Brokers, using terms such as `marketability’ and `liquidity,” sing the praises of companies with high share turnover… but investors should understand that what is good for the croupier is not good for the customer. A hyperactive stock market is the pick pocket of enterprise.”

Inheritance

“When they open that envelope, the first instruction is to take my pulse again.” – 2001 Annual Meeting

“[The perfect amount of money to leave children is] enough money so that they would feel they could do anything, but not so much that they could do nothing.” Richard I. Kirkland Jr., “Should You Leave It All to the Children?” Fortune, 29 September 1986.

Intelligence:

“Success in investing doesn’t correlate with I.Q. once you’re above the level of 25. Once you have ordinary intelligence, what you need is the temperament to control the urges that get other people into trouble in investing.” – BusinessWeek Interview June 25 1999

Insurance:

“In the insurance business, there is no statute of limitation on stupidity.”

Investing:

“You ought to be able to explain why you’re taking the job you’re taking, why you’re making the investment you’re making, or whatever it may be. And if it can’t stand applying pencil to paper, you’d better think it through some more. And if you can’t write an intelligent answer to those questions, don’t do it.”
Forbes: “How do you feel?
 
“Like an oversexed guy in a whorehouse. Now is the time to invest and get rich.”

“The key to investing is not assessing how much an industry is going to affect society, or how much it will grow, but rather determining the competitive advantage of any given company and, above all, the durability of that advantage.” July 1999 Sun Valley

“The important thing is to keep playing, to play against weak opponents and to play for big stakes.”- Nov. 2002 talking with students at Gaston Hall

“I never buy anything unless I can fill out on a piece of paper my reasons. I may be wrong, but I would know the answer to that. “I’m paying $32 billion today for the Coca Cola Company because…” If you can’t answer that question, you shouldn’t buy it. If you can answer that question, and you do it a few times, you’ll make a lot of money.”

“Someone’s sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago.”

Investment banks:

“…Wall Street – a community in which quality control is not prized – will sell investors anything they will buy.” – 2000 Letter to Shareholders

“Wall Street is the only place that people ride to work in a Rolls Royce to get advice from those who take the subway.”

Journalism:

  “The smarter the journalists are, the better off society is.

Love:

“The only way to be loved is to be loveable, which really irritates me.”
 CityClub Seattle (July 21, 2001)

Luck:

I’m just lucky to have been in the right place at the right time. Another place, another time, I wouldn’t have been as successful. Society enabled me to make my money and my money should go to society.”  http://cotellese.wordpress.com/feed/

“I just don’t see anything available that gives any reasonable hope of delivering such a good year and I have no desire to grope around, hoping to ‘get lucky’ with other people’s money. I am not attuned to this market environment, and I don’t want to spoil a decent record by trying to play a game I don’t understand just so I can go out a hero.”

Management:

“When a management with a reputation for brilliance tackles a business with a reputation for bad economics, it is usually the reputation of the business that remains intact.”

“If you don’t know jewelry, know the jeweller.”

“When returns on capital are ordinary, an earn-more-by-putting-up-more record is no great managerial achievement. You can get the same result personally while operating from your rocking chair. just quadruple the capital you commit to a savings account and you will quadruple your earnings. You would hardly expect hosannas for that particular accomplishment. Yet, retirement announcements regularly sing the praises of CEOs who have, say, quadrupled earnings of their widget company during their reign – with no one examining whether this gain was attributable simply to many years of retained earnings and the workings of compound interest.” 1985 Chairman’s Letter to Shareholders

“Just as work expands to fill available time, corporate projects or acquisitions will materialize to soak up available funds… any business craving of the leader, however foolish, will be quickly supported by detailed rate-of-return and strategic studies prepared by his troops”

“The managers at fault periodically report on the lesson they have learned from the latest disappointment. They then usually seek out future lessons.”

“Of one thing be certain: if a CEO is enthused about a particularly foolish acquisition, both his internal staff and his outside advisors will come up with whatever projections are needed to justify his stance. Only in fairy tales are emperors told that they are naked.”

Margin of Safety

“If you understood a business perfectly and the future of the business, you would need very little in the way of a margin of safety. So, the more vulnerable the business is, assuming you still want to invest in it, the larger margin of safety you’d need. If you’re driving a truck across a bridge that says it holds 10,000 pounds and you’ve got a 9,800 pound vehicle, if the bridge is 6 inches above the crevice it covers, you may feel okay, but if it’s over the Grand Canyon, you may feel you want a little larger margin of safety…”- 1997 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting

“You leave yourself an enormous margin of safety. You build a bridge that 30,000-pound trucks can go across and then you drive 10,000-pound trucks across it. That is the way I like to go across bridges.” – Financial World, June 13, 1984.

“Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good results.”- 1974 Letter to Shareholders

Market Timing

“Investors should remember that excitement and expenses are their enemies. And if they insist on trying to time their participation in equities, they should try to be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.”  Berkshire Hathaway 2004 Chairman’s Letter

“Long ago, Sir Isaac Newton gave us three laws of motion, which were the work of genius. But Sir Isaac’s talents didn’t extend to investing: He lost a bundle in the South Sea Bubble, explaining later, ‘I can calculate the movement of the stars, but not the madness of men.’ If he had not been traumatized by this loss, Sir Isaac might well have gone on to discover the Fourth Law of Motion: For investors as a whole, returns decrease as motion increases.”  Berkshire Hathaway 2005 Chairman’s Letter

Math:

“There are three kinds of people in the world: those who can count, and those who can’t”

Mistakes:

“Most business mistakes are irreversible setbacks, but you get another chance. There are two things in life that you don’t get another chance at – marrying the wrong person and what you do with your children.” http://cotellese.wordpress.com/feed/

You only have to do a very few things right in your life so long as you don’t do too many things wrong.

Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Never forget rule No.1.

Patience:

“Time is the enemy of the poor business and the friend of the great business. If you have a business that’s earning 20%-25% on equity, time is your friend. But time is your enemy if your money is in a low return business.” – Warren Buffett, 1998 Berkshire Annual Meeting

“The Stock Market is designed to transfer money from the Active to the Patient.”

“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”

People:

It’s better to hang out with people better than you. Pick out associates whose behavior is better than yours and you’ll drift in that direction.

I am quite serious when I say that I do not believe there are, on the whole earth besides, so many intensified bores as in these United States. No man can form an adequate idea of the real meaning of the word, without coming here.
Somebody once said that in looking for people to hire, you look for three qualities: integrity, intelligence, and energy. And if they don’t have the first, the other two will kill you. You think about it; it’s true. If you hire somebody without the first, you really want them to be dumb and lazy.

“Working with people who cause your stomach to churn seems much like marrying for money – probably a bad idea under any circumstances, but absolute madness if you are already rich.”

Predictions


“You only find out who is swimming naked when the tide goes out.” Berkshire Hathaway 2001 Chairman’s Letter

“I violated the Noah rule: Predicting rain doesn’t count; building arks does.”

“We’ve long felt that the only value of stock forecasters is to make fortune tellers look good. Even now, Charlie and I continue to believe that short-term market forecasts are poison and should be kept locked up in a safe place, away from children and also from grown-ups who behave in the market like children.”

“If past history was all there was to the game, the richest people would be librarians.” 

“In the business world, the rearview mirror is always clearer than the windshield.

“The fact that people will be full of greed, fear or folly is predictable. The sequence is not predictable.” – Financial Review, 1985

“The future is never clear, and you pay a very high price in the stock market for a cheery consensus.

Price

“Price is what you pay. Value is what you get.”

“For some reason, people take their cues from price action rather than from values. What doesn’t work is when you start doing things that you don’t understand or because they worked last week for somebody else. The dumbest reason in the world to buy a stock is because it’s going up. “

“Investors making purchases in an overheated market need to recognize that it may often take an extended period for the value of even an outstanding company to catch up with the price they paid.” – Berkshire Hathaway 1998 Annual Meeting

Problems:

“One’s objective should be to get it right, get it quick, get it out, and get it over… your problem won’t improve with age.”

Quality:

“We have tried occasionally to buy toads at bargain prices with results that have been chronicled in past reports. Clearly our kisses fell flat. We have done well with a couple of princes – but they were princes when purchased. At least our kisses didn’t turn them into toads. And, finally, we have occasionally been quite successful in purchasing fractional interests in easily-identifiable princes at toad-like prices.”- 1981 Chairman’s Letter

Reputation

“It takes 20 years to build a reputation and five minutes to ruin it. If you think about that, you’ll do things differently.”

Risk:

“I like to go for cinches. I like to shoot fish in a barrel. But I like to do it after the water has run out.”- Oct. 2003, Wharton talk with MBA students

“Risk is a part of God’s game, alike for men and nations.”

“I don’t look to jump over 7-foot bars: I look around for 1-foot bars that I can step over.”

“We’re perfectly willing to trade away a big payoff for a certain payoff.” – 1999 Berkshire Hathaway

“Risk comes from not knowing what you’re doing.”

“Uncertainty is the friend of the buyer of long-term values.”

Size vs. Performance

“If I was running $1 million today, or $10 million for that matter, I’d be fully invested. Anyone who says that size does not hurt investment performance is selling. The highest rates of return I’ve ever achieved were in the 1950s. I killed the Dow. You ought to see the numbers. But I was investing peanuts then. It’s a huge structural advantage not to have a lot of money. I think I could make you 50% a year on $1 million. No, I know I could. I guarantee that.” “Homespun Wisdom from the ‘Oracle of Omaha’”, BusinessWeek, 5 July 1999.

“Our future rates of gain will fall far short of those achieved in the past. Berkshire’s capital base is now simply too large to allow us to earn truly outsized returns. If you believe otherwise, you should consider a career in sales but avoid one in mathematics (bearing in mind that there are really only three kinds of people in the world: those who can count and those who can’t). ” – 1998 Chairman’s Letter to Shareholders

Speculation

“If you’re an investor, you’re looking on what the asset is going to do, if you’re a speculator, you’re commonly focusing on what the price of the object is going to do, and that’s not our game.”- 1997 Berkshire Hathaway

“The line separating investment and speculation, which is never bright and clear, becomes blurred still further when most market participants have recently enjoyed triumphs. Nothing sedates rationality like large doses of effortless money. After a heady experience of that kind, normally sensible people drift into behavior akin to that of Cinderella at the ball. They know that overstaying the festivities — that is, continuing to speculate in companies that have gigantic valuations relative to the cash they are likely to generate in the future — will eventually bring on pumpkins and mice. But they nevertheless hate to miss a single minute of what is one helluva party. Therefore, the giddy participants all plan to leave just seconds before midnight. There’s a problem, though: They are dancing in a room in which the clocks have no hands.”  Berkshire Hathaway 2000 Chairman’s Letter

We believe that according the name ‘investors’ to institutions that trade actively is like calling someone who repeatedly engages in one-night stands a ‘romantic.’


Spending:

"If you buy things you do not need, soon you will have to sell things you need"


Taxes

“It’s class warfare, my class is winning, but they shouldn’t be.” – CNN Interview, May 25 2005

“There’s class warfare, all right, but it’s my class, the rich class, that’s making war, and we’re winning.” – New York Times, November 26, 2006.

“If you’re in the luckiest 1 per cent of humanity, you owe it to the rest of humanity to think about the other 99 per cent.” “Times Online, June 28, 2007.

Turn arounds:

“Turn-arounds” seldom turn”.

Valuation:

“The investor of today does not profit from yesterday’s growth.”  1961 partnership letter

“Look at market fluctuations as your friend rather than your enemy; profit from folly rather than participate in it.”

“The speed at which a business success is recognized, furthermore, is not that important as long as the company’s intrinsic value is increasing at a satisfactory rate. In fact, delayed recognition can be an advantage: It may give us the chance to buy more of a good thing at a bargain price.”

Wednesday, May 05, 2010

Micro Inks

One of the investments which got delisted. I beleive i have considerable margin of safety on this. Here I found some discussions on delisting of MicroInks http://www.moneycontrol.com/india/messageboardblog/message_thread/2569773/4009558#m4009558

I prefer not to go for the open offer at 640 per share. I would like to remain as a private shareholder.
http://investingvalues.blogspot.com/2010/04/micro-inks-delisting-exercise.html

Thursday, April 29, 2010

Arbitrage: Gwalior Chemicals Ltd

Gwalior Chemicals sold its chemical business to lanxess for 500 crs and planning to give 100 cr back to the share holders. First 50 crs was to be given through buyback but the offer price of Rs 120 failed to entice the market and the its market price fell by 10% from Rs 95.

Links to study:

updates on buyback timeline

failed buyback offer

Sale of chemicla plant

The market price is 71,  41% discount  from the buyback price

Tuesday, April 13, 2010

Castrol

I am looking at castrol's fundamentals. If invested the dividend yield is more attractive than a interest from a bank. The later being taxable. The trend of dividend is even more beautiful. I have interest to acquire a few shares of it.

The incremental return on retained earnings is always on the positive side and shows its intelligent deployement of capital.

Decription:
Castrol India Limited is an India-based lubricant company. The Company manufactures and markets a range of automotive and industrial lubricants. The Company markets its automotive lubricants under two brands: Castrol and BP. The Company operates in segments, including passenger car engine oils, premium two-stroke and four-stroke oils and multigrade diesel engine oils. The Company offers CRB Plus, CRB Turbo, CRB Prima and CRB Prima Plus for the diesel oil industry. The Company's brand names include GTX, Super TT, CRB, Magnatec, Activ and CRB Plus. Its BikeZone is a multibrand motorcycle service, which services two wheelers. As at December 31, 2008, the Company had 119 BikeZones in India.

Note:

The business is sound and the yield looked sweet but the price I bought was too high. I have sold it  as I needed funds to invest in others companies. Probably will buy it again when the price is 15 times its earnings.

Tuesday, April 06, 2010

Companies with sustainable competitive advantage


  • Bharti Airtel [negative working capital]
  • Castrol
  • Glaxo smith kline pharma [had negative working capital till 97; no debt]
  • Hero honda [negative working capital]
  • Hawkins
  • Lanxess now Styrolution ABS 
  • Nesco: No Debt, Largest exhibition center in Bombay, Making use of its land resources as rental income.

GSFC

About GSFC


G.S.F.C. is one of the largest fertilizer manufacturing units in Asia, which was incorporated under companies Act 1956, on 15th Feb, 1962. G.S.F.C. was established with the objective of enhancing food production in the state of Gujarat which was food deficit at the time.

G.S.F.C. instant strive for products diversification on and value addition has created an product mix ranging from more than 24 brands of fertilizer to petrochemical, chemical, industrial gases, plastics, fibers and other products.


Translating G.S.F.C.'s philosophy is its vast network of plants that make its possible. This infrastructure took its first step in1967 with the setting up of 6 plants with an initial investment of Rs. 40 Crore. These six nitrogenous and phosphatic fertilizer plants started production of: ➢Ammonia
➢Urea
➢Ammonia Sulphate (AS)
➢Di-ammonium Phosphate(DAP)
➢Sulphuric Acid

➢Phosphoric Acid

Formation and growth


1969 – First Expansion The expansion of Ammonia and Urea production began with Phase II in1969 and an investment of Rs. 23 Crore. Was made to meet the increasing demand for Nitrogenous fertilizers.

1974 - Phase III Phase III began in1974 when diversification of products occurred. Plants to manufacture Caprolactam, Melamine, Nylon-6, Oleum - SO2 and OXO - Synthesis Gas unit and Purge Gas Recovery Unit were set up. With Phase III, G.S.F.C. became India's first & only Melamine producer. This provided the boost for further diversification to Nylons / Fibers / Melamine / MEK-Oxime and industrial gases like Argon Gas & Oxon Synthesis Gas.

1989 - Further expansion and diversification Three Co-generation units using LSHS and Natural Gas were set up. Also further expansion of Ammonia and Caprolactam production was initiated. Diversification into Fibers, Nylons, and Acrylic was completed and a DAP plant was also set up. This extensive diversification and expansion drive has been fuelled by G.S.F.C.'s compelling need to ensure full utilization of available resources while also maintaining its profitability and leadership status.

Composition


➢49% of State Government participation
➢51% of Public and Financial Institutions Today,

➢The Government’s involvement has come down to37.84% as on31st March 2009

GNFC: One of the Joint Venture


Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers Company Limited is basically a joint sector company, with GSFC and Gujarat Government, holding 26% and 25% of the share Capital, respectively. GNFC is the largest fuel- based Ammonia plant and was the first largest single stream Urea plant in the world when commissioned. This project was set-up at Bharuch in the industrially-backward area with an investment of Rs.445 Crores and now it has become the largest complex among other industries by major diversification not only in fertilizers, but also in industrial products.


Analysis









Trading below 240 its book value for 09, guess I overlooked this stock and chose GNFC. I failed to realise two could have been better than one. The fundamentals of GCFC looks attractive. It has done a great job in reducing the debt levels to almost nil. For the eps of 62 and the cmp of 220, eps/cmp works around 28 %; and the roe/cmp is around 26%. If the earnings at current levels are sustainable then it is a good buy.

References: Project work by Vivek Negandhi on GSFC

Airtel: Negative Working Capital



It makes sense to identify individual securities that trade at levels that provide a solid margin of safety.


The number one reason most people look at a balance sheet is to find out a company's working capital (or "current") position. It reveals more about the financial condition of a business than almost any other calculation. It tells you what would be left if a company raised all of its short term resources, and used them to pay off its short term liabilities. The more working capital, the less financial strain a company experiences. By studying a company's position, you can clearly see if it has the resources necessary to expand internally or if it will have to turn to a bank and take on debt.

Calculating Working Capital

Working Capital is the easiest of all the balance sheet calculations. Here's the formula.
Current Assets - Current Liabilities = Working Capital
One of the main advantages of looking at the working capital position is being able to foresee any financial difficulties that may arise. Even a business that has billions of dollars in fixed assets will quickly find itself in bankruptcy court if it can't pay its monthly bills. Under the best circumstances, poor working capital leads to financial pressure on a company, increased borrowing, and late payments to creditor - all of which result in a lower credit rating. A lower credit rating means banks charge a higher interest rate, which can cost a corporation a lot of money over time.

Negative Working Capital Can Be a Good Thing for High Turn Businesses

Companies that have high inventory turns and do business on a cash basis (such as a grocery store) need very little working capital. These types of businesses raise money every time they open their doors, then turn around and plow that money back into inventory to increase sales. Since cash is generated so quickly, managements can simply stockpile the proceeds from their daily sales for a short period of time if a financial crisis arises. Since cash can be raised so quickly, there is no need to have a large amount of working capital available.
A company that makes heavy machinery is a completely different story. Because these types of businesses are selling expensive items on a long-term payment basis, they can't raise cash as quickly. Since the inventory on their balance sheet is normally ordered months in advance, it can rarely be sold fast enough to raise money for short-term financial crises (by the time it is sold, it may be too late). It's easy to see why companies such as this must keep enough working capital on hand to get through any unforeseen difficulties.

Note: 

I bought and sold of this stock as the ratio of price over earnings was too high. I hope the price comes down to reasonable levels. 

Thursday, January 28, 2010

Cals Soft

The main concern of the small promoter holding is not true. The promoters hold around 75 per cent through GDRs issued earlier. Ref:a. CALS Refinery confident of funds despite a tight market  b. Cals Refinery is a BUY


The refining margin is the difference between the price of the finished petroleum product and the cost of crude oil.










Note: Penny stocks can be bought through india infoline. HDFC secs doesnt allow trading in penny stocks.

Saturday, December 05, 2009

Buyback

Share buy-back

A share buy-back is the purchase by a company of its own shares in the market. These shares are usually then cancelled.

Companies do sometimes retain bought back shares as treasury shares in order to be able to re-sell them, or allocate them to fulfil share options or to otherwise avoid issuing new shares.

Large share buy-backs are a way of carrying out a return of capital to shareholders. The alternatives are special dividend or a more complex .

The advantage of buy-backs is that, by boosting the share price, they give shareholders capital gains rather than income.

Some companies buy back a small number of shares every year. This is an alternative to increasing the dividend. It also does not commit the company to sustaining the payment in the same way the increasing the dividend would and, again, turns the return into a capital gain rather than income.

Another advantage of a share buy-back is that it gives shareholders more flexibility than a dividend as it allows shareholders to choose when, and if, to sell and realise their cash. This can also help minimise tax.

Shareholders can even, by selling the correct proportion of their holding, get exactly the same amount of cash out of the company as would have been paid if a dividend had been paid instead — however the money may be taxed differently and doing this involves paying broker’s commissions and other expenses of trading.

Buy Back

What is buyback?

Buyback is reverse of issue of shares by a company where it offers to take back its shares owned by the investors at a specified price; this offer can be binding or optional to the investors.

Why companies buyback?

* Unused Cash: If they have huge cash reserves with not many new profitable projects to invest in and if the company thinks the market price of its share is undervalued. Eg. Bajaj Auto went on a massive buy back in 2000 and Reliance's recent buyback. However, companies in emerging markets like India have growth opportunities. Therefore applying this argument to these companies is not logical. This argument is valid for MNCs, which already have adequate R&D budget and presence across markets. Since their incremental growth potential limited, they can buyback shares as a reward for their shareholders.

* Tax Gains Since dividends are taxed at higher rate than capital gains companies prefer buyback to reward their investors instead of distributing cash dividends, as capital gains tax is generally lower. At present, short-term capital gains are taxed at 10% and long-term capital gains are not taxed.

* Market perception By buying their shares at a price higher than prevailing market price company signals that its share valuation should be higher. Eg: In October 1987 stock prices in US started crashing. Expecting further fall many companies like Citigroup, IBM et al have come out with buyback offers worth billions of dollars at prices higher than the prevailing rates thus stemming the fall.

Recently the prices of RIL and REL have not fallen, as expected, despite the spat between the promoters. This is mainly attributed to the buyback offer made at higher prices.

* Exit option If a company wants to exit a particular country or wants to close the company.

* Escape monitoring of accounts and legal controls If a company wants to avoid the regulations of the market regulator by delisting. They avoid any public scrutiny of its books of accounts.

* Show rosier financials Companies try to use buyback method to show better financial ratios. For eg. When a company uses its cash to buy stock, it reduces outstanding shares and also the assets on the balance sheet (because cash is an asset). Thus, return on assets (ROA) actually increases with reduction in assets, and return on equity (ROE) increases as there is less outstanding equity. If the company earnings are identical before and after the buyback earnings per share (EPS) and the P/E ratio would look better even though earnings did not improve. Since investors carefully scrutinize only EPS and P/E figures, an improvement could jump-start the stock. For this strategy to work in the long term, the stock should truly be undervalued.

* Increase promoter's stake Some companies buyback stock to contain the dilution in promoter holding, EPS and reduction in prices arising out of the exercise of ESOPs issued to employees. Any such exercising leads to increase in outstanding shares and to drop in prices. This also gives scope to takeover bids as the share of promoters dilutes. Eg. Technology companies which have issued ESOPs during dot-com boom in 2000-01 have to buyback after exercise of the same. However the logic of buying back stock to protect from hostile takeovers seem not logical. It may be noted that one of the risks of public listing is welcoming hostile takeovers. This is one method of market disciplining the management. Though this type of buyback is touted as protecting over-all interests of the shareholders, it is true only when management is considered as efficient and working in the interests of the shareholders.

* Generally the intention is mix of any of the above

* Sometimes Governments nationalize the companies by taking over it and then compensates the shareholders by buying back their shares at a predetermined price. Eg. Reserve Bank of India in 1949 by buying back the shares.

What are the methods in which buyback can happen?

Share buyback can take place in 3 ways:

1. Shareholders are presented with a tender offer where they have the option to submit a portion of or all of their shares within a certain time period and at usually a price higher than the current market value. Another variety of this is Dutch auction, in which companies state a range of prices at which it's willing to buy and accepts the bids. It buys at the lowest price at which it can buy the desired number of shares.

2. Through book-building process.

3. Companies can buy shares on the open market over a long-term period subject to various regulator guidelines like SEBI

In both 1 & 2 promoters can participate in buyback and not in 3.

Restrictions on buyback by Indian companies:

Some of the features in government regulation for buyback of shares are:

1. A special resolution has to be passed in general meeting of the shareholders

2. Buyback should not exceed 25% of the total paid-up capital and free reserves

3. A declaration of solvency has to be filed with SEBI and Registrar Of Companies

4. The shares bought back should be extinguished and physically destroyed;

5. The company should not make any further issue of securities within 2 years, except bonus, conversion of warrants, etc.

These restrictions were imposed to restrict the companies from using the stock markets as short term money provider apart from protecting interests of small investors.

Valuation of buyback:

There are two ways companies determine the buyback price.

They use the average closing price (which is a weighted average for volume) for a period immediately before to the buyback announcement. Based on the trend and value a buyback price is decided

In the 2nd, shareholders are invited to sell some or all of their shares within a set price range. The low point of the range is at a discount to the market price, while the top of the price range is set at a premium to the market price. Investors are given more say in the buyback price than in the above arrangement. Still this method is rarely used. Generally, the price is fixed at a mark up over and above the average price of the last 12-18 months.

Any manipulations?

* Some companies come out with a scheme of buyback wherein, unless the shareholders rejected the offer specifically, in response to the offer letter sent by the company, they would be deemed to have accepted it. Though courts have upheld the action of the companies, it is to be noted that small shareholders generally do not bother to read such letters and respond to the same, and may not understand the complex legal language used in such letters.

* Some companies make it compulsory for shareholders to sell at a specified price mandated by the company. A shareholder enters a company by choice and mutual agreement and should be entitled to exit only by choice. Forcible buyback of shares at a non-transparent price would be expropriation and should be prevented. Note: GoI's budget of FY 2002-03 has relaxed buyback rules for the companies by which buyback of shares up to 10% of paid-up capital does not require shareholders approval thus putting the minority shareholders at the mercy of majority shareholders and promoters.

Eg. MNCs listed on exchanges have taken this route in a big way in 2001-2003

Checklist for investors before accepting the company's buyback offer:

* Take a look at the share price movement immediately before the buyback. If there was a significant rise, the prima facie assumption is that the promoters have been up to tricks.

* Debt-equity ratio: The companies aare hugely under debts are unlikely to have free cash

* Companies that have just come to the capital markets to raise money are unlikely to be good candidates for buyback.

* When the management has passed special resolutions, with a lot of publicity, empowering the Board to buy back whenever allowed, there is enough scope for suspicion. Anybody with the genuine intention of buying back to enhance shareholders' wealth would try to do so with minimum publicity so that the share price does not flare up due to speculators.

Effect of buybacks on stock exchanges:

Buyback may leads to abnormal increase of prices posing heavy risk to those who value shares based on fundamentals. This may also lead to reduction in investor interest in the market particularly with de-listing of good shares. Eg: It was feared in 2001-03 that de-listing by many MNCs may drop the money flow to stock exchanges.

Conclusion

It may be remembered that buyback has no impact on the fundamentals of the economy or the company. Therefore investors should be cautious of unscrupulous promoters' traps.

Tuesday, November 04, 2008

Red Indians and the market

It was autumn, and the Red Indians on the remote reservation asked their New Chief if the winter was going to be cold or mild. Since he was a Red Indian chief in a modern society, he couldn't tell what the weather was going to be.

Nevertheless, to be on the safe side, he replied to his Tribe that the winter was indeed going to be cold and that the members of the village should collect wood to be prepared. But also being a practical leader, after several days he got an idea. He went to the phone booth, called the National Weather Service and asked 'Is the coming winter going to be cold?' 'It looks like this winter is going to be quite cold indeed,' the meteorologist at the weather service responded. So the Chief went back to his people and told them to collect even more wood.

A week later, he called the National Weather Service again. 'Is it Going to be a very cold winter?' 'Yes,' the man at National Weather Service again replied, 'It's definitely going to be a very cold winter. '

The Chief again went back to his people and ordered them to collect every scrap of wood they could find. Two weeks later, he called the National Weather Service again. 'Are you absolutely sure that the winter is going to be very cold?'

'Absolutely' , the man replied. 'It's going to be one of the coldest winters ever. '
'How can you be so sure?' the Chief asked.
The weatherman replied, 'The Red Indians are collecting wood like Crazy.'

This is how stock markets work !!!

Sunday, November 02, 2008

GE Shipping

This is truly a value business which could be bought at a bargain at rs 138. With dividend around 15 rs and earnings at 80 rs. Its a diamond for a value investor. With it buyback of share it is amazing to see the equity base reducing. This is a rare phenomenon and very share holder friendly.

Buyback

Sep 8, 2008

Cover Story: Buyback

Check the agenda

Buyback is increasingly resorted to boost the stock price. But it also means that the company does not have any growth plans

Buyback is a reverse of issue of shares by a company. The company offers to take back its shares owned by the investors at a specified price. The price can be binding or optional to the investors. Buybacks have increased this year due to the decline in markets from all-time high. A depressed market is a ripe time for promoters to mop up shares at low prices without using personal funds.

There are many reasons why companies choose to buy back shares. Investors should study the reasons behind the company’s buyback strategy before tendering their shares. If companies have huge cash reserves with not many new profitable projects to invest, buyback is a way to reward investors. However, companies in emerging markets like India have growth opportunities. So this logic does not apply.

Many companies use buyback to show better financial ratios. Thus, return on assets (ROA) actually increases with the reduction in assets, and return on equity (ROE) rises as there is less outstanding equity. The earning per share (EPS) and the P/E ratio looks better after the buyback on reduced capital even though the earning may not improve. As investors scrutinise EPS and P/E before investing, the favorable ratios could boost the stock.

Some companies buy back stock to contain the dilution in promoter holding and EPS from the employee stock option plans (ESOPs). Any such exercise leads to increase in outstanding shares and drop in prices. This also gives scope for takeover bids as the share of promoters reduces.

Buyback is another strategy to maintain the share price in a bear run. By buying shares at a price higher than the prevailing market price, the company signals that its share valuation should be higher, thus stemming the fall. The stock repurchase program reaffirms the confidence the company has in its long-term growth and profitability, and demonstrates its commitment to enhance shareholder value by rewarding investors.

Buyback also has certain negative implications. Buyback sends signals that the market capitalisation of the shares has scope to improve and, thus, leads to speculative activities.

Second, the promoters’ holding increases subsequent to the capital reduction with the use of company funds. This is a setback for investors who stay put in the company, particularly in the growth sectors. A reduced capital decreases the borrowing power. If buyback is resorted to by incremental borrowings, the increased cost of capital proves to be detrimental to the company’s health. The financial flexibility of the company is curbed, consequently restricting the developmental process and may even prove fatal in contingencies, which cannot be ruled out in a business.

Buyback also prevents the company from raising equity capital for the next two years. This could impact the company’s growth process as it may not be able to use opportunities that may arise in the following two years for diversification, modernisation or expansion.

There are certain checks and balances investors must apply before participating in a buyback. Companies generally tend to buy back shares at a higher premium over the market price if they feel that their shares are under-priced. This decision to buy back often leads to increase in the share price. Investors should look at the share price movement immediately before the buyback. If there has been a significant rise, the assumption is that the promoters have been up to some manipulations.

Companies with huge debts are unlikely to have free cash. So investors should check the debt-to-equity ratio of the company. Companies that have just come to the capital markets to raise money are unlikely to be good candidates for buyback. When the management has passed special resolutions, with a lot of publicity, empowering the board to decide on the buyback date, there is scope for suspicion.

If investors feel the share price is undervalued, refrain from tendering the shares, as the company buying back the shares is indirectly conveying that its shares are undervalued. Despite strong fundamentals, the shares of a few companies are highly volatile and exhibit wild oscillation in prices. If investors want to play it safe and avoid volatility, selling out would be a better option. Decide to sell the scrip when the market price is equivalent to the highest in the offer band.

When a company announces a buyback, it is usually perceived by the market as a positive, which often causes the share price to shoot up. In one sense, this is good for shareholders because the dividend payout per share rises. On the other hand, it is an acknowledgement that the management can think of nothing better to do with company’s money than buy back its own shares. If a stock is undervalued and a buyback truly represents the best possible investment for a company, the buyback — and its effects — can be viewed as a positive sign for shareholders.

Watch out if a company is merely using buyback to prop up ratios to provide short-term relief to an ailing stock price or to get out from excessive dilution. The reward to the shareholders should be equitable and without discrimination and there should be no protection to one class or group of shareholders at the cost of other.

Buyback has provided MNCs the option to convert their Indian ventures into whollyowned subsidiaries, delist their shares and take complete control over their Indian ventures, and make decisions that could be detrimental to the interest of minority investors.

BOX

Three routes to buy back

Tender offer, bookbuilding or open market purchases

Companies can buy back shares in three ways. First, the shareholders are presented with a tender offer where they have the option to submit a portion or all of their shares within a certain time period at a price usually higher than the current market value. This premium compensates investors for tendering their shares rather than holding on to them. Another variety of this is the Dutch auction, in which the company states a range of prices at which it is willing to buy and accepts the bids. It buys at the lowest price at which it can mop the desired number of shares.

The second way is the book-building process. The third method is buying shares from the open market over the long term subject to various regulatory guidelines.

In the first two methods, promoters can participate in the buyback by tendering their shares. But they cannot in the third process.

To value the buyback price, companies use the weighted average closing price (averaging the price obtained by assigning proportionate weightge to the price based on volume) for a period immediately before the buyback announcement. Based on the trend and value, the buyback price is decided.

The company, thereafter, sends investors a tender/offer form. The decision to accept or forgo the offer lies with the investor. Shareholders accepting the offer have to fill up the form and enclose the documents asked for by the company.

Investors can even make an application on plain paper stating their folio number, name, address, number of shares held, share certificate number, distinctive numbers, number of shares tendered together with the original share certificate. These can be tendered at the collection centres mentioned in the public announcement. It is required to send intimation to the tenderers within 15 days from the closure of the offer. Acceptance from any investor is on a proportionate basis irrespective of the number of shares tendered. It is required to send consideration or the share certificate within 21 days from the closure of the buyback offer.

There are certain regulations imposed on companies going for buyback. A special resolution has to be passed in a general meeting of the shareholders for buyback up to 25% of the total paid-up capital and free reserves. A company may buy back its shares without shareholders’ resolution to the extent of 10% of its paid-up equity capital and reserves. A declaration of solvency has to be filed with Sebi and the registrar of companies. The shares bought back should be extinguished and physically destroyed.

The company should not make any further issue of securities within two years, except bonus and conversion of warrants. The ratio of the debt owed by the company should not be more than twice the capital and its free reserves after such buyback.

There should not be any default in repayments of debt. A company which is in default of payment of deposits, redemption of debentures or preference shares or repayment of a term loan to any financial institution is prohibited from undertaking a buyback exercise.

A company cannot buy back its shares or other specified securities out of the proceeds of an earlier issue of the same kind of shares or specified securities.

The buyback should also be in accordance with the Sebi guidelines which include daily advertisements, disclosure of purchases daily, declaration by promoters of the upfront pre- and post buy-back holding to prevent manipulation. Also, the company cannot participate in the buy-back through any subsidiary company or investment companies.

In the queue
Companies approving their buyack plans since 1 April 2008

Company, Sector, BB Price(Rs), BB Apprv Date, Aggr Amount (Rs cr), Cash Reserve, Market Price 29-Aug-08, Chg(%) Since Apprv*, Pre-BB Promoter Stake(%)
HEG Electrode-Graphite 350 19-Aug-08 48.5 317.87 239.2 -9.62 51.44
FDC Pharma 40 12-Aug-08 35.85 354.99 33.5 -2.9 63.98
Gateway Distriparks Miscellaneous 110 25-Jul-08 64 532.31 90.8 6.64 41.14
TV Today Network Entert / Electr media 115 31-Jul-08 29.3 225.54 95.3 -9.41 55.68
Jindal Poly Films Packaging 350 14-Jul-08 150 758.78 260.2 9.3 55.2
TTK HealthCare Pharma 120 25-Jul-08 11.06 44.39 96.5 3.6 62.64
DLF Realty 600 10-Jul-08 1100 346.92 493.3 7.63 88.16
Abbott India Pharma 630 09-Jul-08 50.24 216.55 560.9 4.73 65.14
Surana Telecom Telephone-cables 50 22-Apr-08 6 54.88 27.75 -25.7 54.66
Sasken Commu Tech software 260 19-Apr-08 40 394.31 138.8 -3.58 26.44
JB Chemicals &Phar Pharma 70 08-Apr-08 29.52 446.32 43.8 -18.05 55.46
SRF Textiles 160 25-Apr-08 70 844.58 132.9 -4.42 42.12

Note
BB-Buyback. ##Cash reserves as on buyback approval date. Reserves excluding revaluation reserves of latest financial year considered. * Change % since approval date

Saturday, November 01, 2008

Financial Technologies Ltd

Story of Jignesh shah , its promoter.


This company is a player in transaction market. Its products are means to the end and not the end itself. That is no matter people gain or loose money while buying or selling equites, commodities or bullion, FTIL is going to have a commission amount from the transaction made. That is a toll bridge kind of revenue model which would also need less capital expenditure.

The price of Rs 515, dividend of rs 20 and earnings of rs 148 is okay but if the price falls around rs 250- 350 would be a bargain price for this company.

Indian public holding in FT is only 7 %. So there is no scope for
promoters to buy any of the stock. Promoters buying is a good indicator
but not the sole indicator.

The company has two streams of income : 1) license and transaction fee on
its products 2) periodic stake sale in subsidiaries that it has
incubated.

Incubating and stake sale in subsidiaries is a Venture Capital model and
earnings are lumpy. Just as GE Shipping considers profit on sale of ships
as regular income, stake sale in subsidiaries is also regular income for
FT.

When analysing "Other Income" we have to see whether it is regular income or
extraordinary.

FY 08 results included part stake sales in MCX. But, even discounting
that, the previous few years had CAGR of 90 %.
Q-2 FY09 has no stake sales. There is rapid growth in license and
transaction fee income. MCX has increased its market share.
The value of the stake in MCX and other unlisted subsidiaries is listed
at cost in the balance sheet. The market value is much higher.

FY07 EPS was Rs 20. Due to the high profits in FY08, the dividend payout
was Rs 20, equal to the entire EPS of the previous year. The company has
enough free cash to continue paying Rs 20 dividends.

The price of FT is volatile due to the small floating stock.

Friday, October 31, 2008

GNFC

I believe GNFC has competitive advantage which is sustainable.

The EPS growth which I analysed is predictable.


http://www.nseindia.com/marketinfo/companyinfo/eod/announcements.jsp?symbol=GNFC

Main activities are to produce and distribute chemicals, fertilizers, IT solutions, and electronic goods.The Fertilizers Co. of Gujarat Narmada Valley has a Urea plant which is the world's single largest stream plant and also an Ammonia plant which too is one of the largest in the world.

The various fertilizers manufactured by the Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers Co. are:
Urea
Single Super Phosphate
Ammonium Sulphate
Muriate of Potash
Di-ammonium Phosphate
Calcium Ammonium Nitrate

The various chemicals manufactured by the Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers Co. are:
Acetic Acid
Methanol
Formic Acid
Ammonium Nitrate
Calcium Carbonate
Methyl Formate

The advantage of fertilizer company is that
"though the price of fertilizer is 1/5th that of the global market, the goverment compensates the fertilizer companies by providing subsidy for the difference in the actual price and the price paid by the farmers. The farmer community is a major votebank that the political parties will hesitate to loose by displeasing them"
This is a advantage to the fertilizer industry as a whole.

The key issue is to find whether this advantage is durable. Another issue will be that when all the players in the industry gains then which are the companies which is going to benfit from it the most.

Source: http://www.scribd.com/doc/5061434/Indian-Fertilizer-Sector

Further the impact of NPS stage III policy according to ICRA is favourable to few companies like GNFC, NFL, GSFC and DCM Sriram Consolidated Ltd. View 9th page of http://www.icra.in/Files/PDF/ArticleFiles/2007-March-StageIIIUreaPolicy.PDF

Futher GNFC and NFL gain because of
1. full reimbursement of Tax inputs.

Notes:

Few years back the a company resolution was proposed to use 30% of the profits for charitable use. To a shareholder this is like another tax on income and an unfriendly attitude in play. The protection of the moat being a state owned company thus becomes a double edged sword for the shareholder. Though this proposal was defeated, the threat exists.

The lack of sustained leadership at the top management can be seen by the change of leaders. This is like a ship changing its captain during its voyage frequently.

Tuesday, October 28, 2008

COLGATE-PALMOLIVE (INDIA) LIMITED

Colgate Palmolive is the leading provider of scientifically proven oral care products at various price points. Products include toothpastes, topotpowder and toothbrushes under the "colgate" brand.
These have become the daily part of oral hygiene and therapeutic oral care in India

Under the "Pamolive" brand it has personal care products like shaving creams, lotions, face creams, baby powder and talcum powder etc.

Colgate brand has competitive advantage which is sustainable.

Inventory turnover is 19.9 for yoy 2008. EPS growth (5 year) rate is above 17 percent for yoy 2008.
Dividend for yoy 2008 is 13 rs for 1 re share.
The working capital for a turnover of 1553 cr is 7.59 cr and the net current asset is -104.68cr. The company is zero debt.

http://www.fourstocks.com/stocks/colpal/company_info/IncomeStat